Recently leaked footage from an NBC election night mockup reveals a simulated scenario where former President Donald Trump pulls ahead of Kamala Harris in critical battleground states, potentially signaling challenges for Harris in the 2024 presidential election. The footage, shared by a citizen journalist on X named Diligent Denizen, offers a glimpse into what NBC anticipates could be a challenging path to victory for Harris, should she be the Democratic candidate against Trump.
In the mock election scenario, NBC anchors review the early results as they roll in, presenting a map that initially favors Trump. The broadcast showcases Trump’s potential to outperform expectations in key swing states, giving him an early edge in the race to reach the necessary 270 electoral votes. One of the anchors comments on Trump’s strong showing in Michigan, a state that played a crucial role in Biden’s victory in 2020.
“Right now, it looks like there’s a big crack in Michigan,” an anchor states, highlighting the significance of a possible shift in favor of Trump. Specifically, areas like Saginaw, Michigan, are highlighted as surprisingly supportive of Trump, contrasting with Biden’s success in these regions four years ago.
Trump’s strategy focuses heavily on regaining states in the Midwest and Sun Belt. States like Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania—known as the “Blue Wall” during previous Democratic victories—are crucial to the Democratic path, but NBC’s mockup suggests they may not be as secure for Harris.
With unexpected Republican gains in Michigan, NBC’s mock analysts explore Trump’s expanding paths to victory, noting that he’s seeing favorable numbers in other battleground states, including North Carolina, Arizona, and Georgia. The footage underscores how small shifts in these key regions could tilt the election map toward Trump.
Conversely, Harris’s simulated election map shows a more difficult path to 270 electoral votes. One NBC anchor comments, “Kamala Harris only has a couple of ways to get there,” illustrating the narrowing options available to her. To secure the White House, Harris would likely need to win Pennsylvania and two out of three key “Blue Wall” states, which were instrumental in Biden’s 2020 victory. Even with wins in Pennsylvania, New Mexico, Minnesota, and Virginia, Harris’s projected total falls short at 247 electoral votes, 23 votes away from the necessary threshold.
The footage suggests that Harris’s path to victory hinges on retaining states that Biden won in 2020 while also capturing pivotal battlegrounds that may lean Republican this time. As one anchor points out, Harris would need to secure Pennsylvania and key parts of the Midwest, as well as at least one major state that Trump is likely to contest fiercely. The hypothetical scenario highlights the importance of states like Arizona and Georgia, which have grown increasingly competitive, along with long-time battlegrounds in the Midwest.
The footage also hints at possible Republican gains in Congress, suggesting a scenario where Republicans increase their presence in both the Senate and House. NBC’s mockup notes that a more robust Republican Congress could further complicate Harris’s ability to pursue her policies should she win the presidency. The scenario implies that Democrats face a challenging electoral landscape, with voters in key regions potentially leaning toward Trump and Republican congressional candidates.
Diligent Denizen, the user who released the video, has since gained considerable attention for posting the footage on X. The leaked video has sparked widespread online discussion, with some users questioning NBC’s motives behind the election night simulation. Others view it as a realistic assessment of the uphill battle Democrats may face in the coming election cycle.
The impact of this leak reaches beyond just speculation, as it adds to the broader conversation surrounding the potential 2024 match-up. Political analysts have been closely examining the latest polling data and voter sentiment across battleground states, which will ultimately play a decisive role in the next election.
Current polling trends show a competitive race in which swing states will once again become the focal points for both campaigns. The hypothetical scenario in the NBC mockup is reflective of trends seen in recent elections, where razor-thin margins in a handful of states have determined the outcome.
The simulation also serves as a reminder of the importance of electoral strategy and turnout, especially for Democrats seeking to maintain a coalition across various demographics and regions. With states like Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania remaining highly contested, each campaign will likely prioritize these areas in their strategy, knowing that they could be determinative.
As the 2024 election approaches, both parties are expected to continue tailoring their messages to appeal to swing voters and prioritize turnout in battleground states. The leaked NBC mockup, while hypothetical, underscores the significance of every vote and every state in what could be another closely fought presidential race.
🚨🇺🇸 SCOOP: LEAKED MSM ELECTION NIGHT MOCKUP SHOWS KAMALA HARRIS LOSING ELECTION IN SWING STATES
Leaked MSM mockup footage of election night *reported to use Harris’ internal polling* shows Trump leading in Pennsylvania by a small margin, winning in Michigan, winning in North… pic.twitter.com/D4nHLkCCcV
— Diligent Denizen 🇺🇸 (@DiligentDenizen) November 3, 2024